One very simple thing about the Snow Plot that has become very clear, but yet which is not getting any traction in any of the analysis I’ve seen about it, is this:

The reason why this story has so much potency is because if a secret ballot were to be held, Gordon Brown would almost certainly lose.

If you think about that, it’s quite remarkable.

It’s the open secret that hangs over British politics like a thundercloud; one of the major parties is going into an election led by a person that the majority of its members don’t want to be Prime Minister. And what’s even more remarkable is that this has been clear for a long time, and that, despite numerous attempts, no-one has succeeded in prising him out.